EEUU reconoce lo que todo el mundo ha visto hace tiempo

Siria

En la publicación sobre la evaluación de las amenazas que publica la comunidad de inteligencia de EEUU se puede leer lo siguiente:

Syria
 The conflict has decisively shifted in the Syrian regime’s favor, enabling Russia and Iran to further entrench themselves inside the country. Syria is likely to experience episodic conflict through 2018, even as Damascus recaptures most of the urban terrain and the overall level of violence decreases.  The Syrian opposition’s seven-year insurgency is probably no longer capable of overthrowing President Bashar al-Asad or overcoming a growing military disadvantage. Rebels probably retain the resources to sustain the conflict for at least the next year.  ISIS is likely on a downward trajectory in Syria; yet, despite territorial losses, it probably possesses sufficient resources, and a clandestine network in Syria, to sustain insurgency operations through 2018. 21  Moscow probably cannot force President Asad to agree to a political settlement that he believes significantly weakens him, unless Moscow is willing to remove Asad by force. While Asad may engage in peace talks, he is unlikely to negotiate himself from power or offer meaningful concessions to the opposition.  Russia and Iran are planning for a long-term presence, securing military basing rights and contracts for reconstruction and oil and gas exploitation. Iran is also seeking to establish a land corridor from Iran through Syria to Lebanon. The Kurdish People’s Protection Unit—the Syrian militia of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK)—probably will seek some form of autonomy but will face resistance from Russia, Iran, and Turkey.  As of October 2017, there were more than 5 million Syrian refugees in neighboring countries, and an estimated 6.3 million internally displaced. Reconstruction could cost at least $100 billion and take at least 10 years to complete. Asad’s battered economy will likely continue to require significant subsidies from Iran and Russia to meet basic expenses.

 STATEMENT FOR THE RECORDWORLDWIDE THREAT ASSESSMENTof theUS INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY


Es una publicación oficial.

Las perlas que se pueden leer llegan a extremos como que el conflicto ha cambiado decisivamente a favor del régimen sirio.

Otra es que afirman, los estadounidenses, que después de 7 años de conflicto los rebeldes probablemente ya no pueden derrocar a Assad o recuperarse de los reveses militares.

Añaden que los rebeldes probablemente tienen recursos para mantener el conflicto al menos durante un año más.

Ahora sólo falta que los estadounidenses den su brazo a torcer después de afirmar lo que han afirmado porque si hay recursos para aguantar al menos 1 año más y no hay posibilidad de derrocar a Assad, ¿ Qué sentido tiene seguir con todo esto ?